Gavin Guidry

Gavin Guidry

School
Louisiana State
Born
2003-07-14
Hometown
Sulphur, LA
Bats / Throws
R/R
Height / Weight
6-2 · 184
Drafted
2026 · Rd 16 (#480 overall) · New York Mets

Cape League Pitching (expand stats for Game Logs)

2026 — Chatham Anglers · Louisiana State
Date Team Opp Result Dec GS IPABBF HRERHR BBIBBSO HBPSHSFWPBK ERAWHIPK/9BB/9FIPERA+
2026
Season Total  0-1 4 17.0 68 77 19 12 11 4 7 0 20 2 0 0 1 0 5.82 1.53 10.59 3.71 5.85

2026 Advanced Metrics (Trackman)

Pitching
Pitching
xwOBA Against
27
0.379
xBA Against
40
0.251
xSLG Against
24
0.388
Exit Velo Against
46
81.1 mph
Hard-Hit % Against
30
22.0%
Ground Ball %
4
26.8%
K %
72
25.6%
BB %
60
9.0%
Whiff %
16
20.2%
Chase %
83
31.7%
Fastball Velocity
58
91.4 mph
Run Value/100
27
-0.90
Pitch-level percentiles vs. 2026 qualified pitchers (min 50 pitches); K%/BB% vs. qualified pitchers (min 8 IP); bar = percentile rank, value on right = actual stat
Pitch movement (catcher's-eye view, inches)
-20 -20 -10 -10 10 10 20 20 Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball Fastball Slider Curveball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Cutter Cutter Fastball Cutter Cutter Cutter Slider Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball Curveball Slider Slider Fastball Fastball Fastball Curveball Curveball Fastball Fastball Curveball Fastball ChangeUp Curveball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Cutter Fastball Curveball Fastball ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Slider Cutter ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Cutter Cutter Fastball Curveball Fastball Curveball Fastball Curveball Cutter Fastball Fastball ChangeUp ChangeUp Fastball Cutter Fastball Fastball Fastball Curveball Fastball Curveball Cutter ChangeUp Fastball ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball Fastball Fastball Cutter Fastball ChangeUp ChangeUp ChangeUp ChangeUp Cutter Fastball Curveball Fastball Fastball Cutter Fastball Slider ChangeUp Fastball Curveball ChangeUp Cutter Fastball ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Cutter Slider Slider Slider Fastball ChangeUp Slider Fastball Slider Curveball ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Fastball ChangeUp ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Cutter Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Cutter Slider ChangeUp Fastball ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball ChangeUp Curveball Cutter Fastball ChangeUp Fastball ChangeUp Cutter ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Fastball Curveball Fastball Cutter Cutter Curveball Cutter Fastball Fastball Curveball Fastball Fastball Slider Cutter Fastball Fastball Cutter Cutter Fastball Curveball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Cutter Cutter ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Curveball Fastball Fastball Fastball Slider Fastball ChangeUp Curveball Fastball ChangeUp ChangeUp Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Cutter Fastball Slider Cutter Fastball Fastball Cutter Cutter Fastball Curveball Curveball Fastball Fastball Slider ChangeUp Curveball Curveball Cutter Cutter Fastball Slider Cutter ChangeUp Cutter Fastball Fastball Fastball Fastball Curveball Curveball ChangeUp Slider Fastball ChangeUp ChangeUp Cutter Fastball Horizontal Break (in) Induced Vertical Break (in)
PitchUsage%VeloSpiniVBHBWhiff%
Fastball 51.4% 91.4 2262 20.6 10.8 11.8
Cutter 14.8% 86.2 2606 5.1 -3.2 38.9
ChangeUp 13.2% 85.3 1427 8.1 15.9 15.8
Curveball 11.3% 79.1 2639 -8.5 -9.2 28.6
Slider 9.3% 84.3 2593 1.7 -5.7 41.7
BASLGwOBA
Actual 0.288 0.559 0.482
Expected (x) 0.251 0.388 0.379
Diff +0.037 +0.171 +0.103
Expected stats allowed, from the same k-nearest-neighbor model on exit velo + launch angle (59 AB against) — negative diff (blue) means outperforming quality of contact allowed (limiting hits below what the contact deserved), positive (red) means getting unlucky/hit hard
Rolling velo by game (2026-06-13 – 2026-07-03)
88.0 87.1
Run Value/100 replicates MLB's own published methodology: a count-conditioned run-expectancy model (base-out state × ball-strike count, same RE24 approach as the baserunning model but extended to the pitch level) values every single pitch, not just PA outcomes — a called strike moving the count from 1-1 to 1-2 has real value even though nothing "happened." Doesn't use Trackman at all, just play-by-play + pitch sequencing, so it isn't restricted to Trackman-covered games the way most of this section is. The Fielding row is a range-runs estimate: batted balls are bucketed by position + Trackman-derived difficulty (hang time/distance/exit velo, same buckets as the baserunning model), and the fielder — parsed directly from that specific play's PBP description, not a per-game starting lineup — is credited or debited the run-value gap between the bucket's expected out rate and what actually happened. Barrel% uses MLB's actual published EV/launch-angle lookup table — a ball must be hit 98+ mph, with the qualifying launch-angle window widening as EV climbs (a tight 26-30° band right at 98 mph, up to a wide 8-50° band at 116+ mph); Solid Contact % is a CCBL-only complement using that same table shifted 10 mph lower (88+ mph and up), since MLB's absolute 98+ mph Barrel threshold leaves ~70% of CCBL hitters flat at 0%. Hard-Hit % is exit velo alone, no launch-angle requirement: 95+ mph off the bat. xBA/xSLG/xwOBA use a k-nearest-neighbor model on this season's own batted balls, not MLB's own published model or league-wide MLB data — those, Fielding, and Run Value should be read as CCBL-relative, not compared directly to MLB's own advanced tracking numbers.